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Rather, a recession is a significant decline in economic activity spread across the economy, lasting more than a few months, normally visible in real GDP, real income, employment, industrial production, and wholesale-retail sales.

For more information, see the latest announcement from the NBER's Business Cycle Dating Committee, dated 9/20/10.

We will argue further, consistent with earlier discussion (2, 3), that measurements in the Western Pacific and Indian Oceans provide a good indication of global temperature change.

We first update our analysis of surface temperature change based on instrumental data and compare observed temperature change with predictions of global climate change made in the 1980s.

Yes, layers can be seen in ice cores extracted from deep in glaciers in Antarctica and Greenland, but less than 2,000 annual layers can be counted visually for a very simple reason.

But when Fagg subjected plant matter found embedded in the terracotta to the then-new technique of radiocarbon dating, the dates ranged from 440 B. He found 13 such furnaces, and terracotta figurines were in such close associationinside the furnaces and around themthat he postulated the terracottas were objects of worship to aid blacksmithing and smelting.

Carbon dating of charcoal inside the furnaces revealed dates as far back as 280 B.

He set up shop in a whitewashed cottage that still stands outside the village of Nok and soon gathered nearly 200 terracottas through purchase, persuasion, and his own excavations. Through a combination of luck, legwork, and new dating techniques, Fagg and his collaborators had apparently discovered a hitherto unknown civilization, which he named Nok.

Soil analysis from the spots where the artifacts were found dated them to around 500 B. This seemed impossible since the type of complex societies that would have produced such works were not supposed to have existed in West Africa that early. One excavation site, near the village of Taruga, revealed something else Fagg had not expected: iron furnaces.




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